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Tehran has warned regional states that any participation in US or Israeli military operations against Iran will not be cost-free, stressing that security in West Asia is indivisible.
The threats of American and Zionist officials against Iran have once again intensified. From talk of using heavy bombs to emphasis on the necessity of what is called finishing off Iran, statements are being made that show warmongering currents are still seeking to impose their will on the Islamic Republic of Iran. However, the experience of past decades and especially the recent military confrontations has shown that threat and military pressure do not necessarily lead to the realization of Washington’s and Tel Aviv’s political objectives.
In this context, the issue is not only Iran’s confrontation with America and the Zionist regime; the countries of the region must also make a clear decision about their place in the developments ahead. Regional security, contrary to the assumption of some governments, is not a divisible matter in which a country can place its soil, water, and air at the disposal of military operations against its neighbor and at the same time expect to remain immune from its consequences. Tehran’s message to the countries of the region is clear: accompanying a military adventure against Iran will not guarantee their security, but will be a factor in expanding the scope of insecurity.
New Threats and the Repetition of Past Calculations
American and Zionist officials speak of intensifying pressure on Iran under conditions in which both face domestic political challenges and electoral concerns. Benjamin Netanyahu faces domestic pressures to preserve his political position, and Donald Trump must also manage the consequences of his administration’s policies in the American political atmosphere. Not all military threats can be explained merely by electoral considerations, but political exploitation of the atmosphere of confrontation and the display of power is one of the factors that must be taken into account in analyzing the behavior of the leaders of these two sides.
The fundamental issue is that new threats do not change the strategic realities of the region. Iran is a country with considerable defense, geographical, and human capacities, and any military action against it will have consequences beyond the initial calculations of the aggressors. The experience of recent conflicts has also shown that one should not equate the ability to inflict damage with the possibility of imposing political will on Iran.
However, one of the most important dimensions of any intensification of confrontation is the role of some regional countries; countries that, during the recent conflicts, according to Iran’s stated positions, placed their territorial or military facilities at the disposal of America. Such an approach, if it leads to facilitating attacks against Iran, will remove these countries from the position of observers of developments and turn them into part of the security equation of the confrontation.
Regional Security, an Interconnected Reality
Seyed Abbas Araghchi, Iran’s Foreign Minister, at the meeting of the Council of Foreign Ministers of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation in Baghdad, emphasizing the interconnection of the security of the region’s countries, stated: “Either we build security together, or we will endure insecurity together.”
This proposition is not merely a diplomatic warning; rather, it expresses a fundamental reality in the political geography of the Persian Gulf and West Asia. The countries of the region are dependent on one another in terms of geography, economy, trade, energy, and communication infrastructure. Any widespread conflict can affect shipping routes, the energy market, investment, transportation, and economic stability. Therefore, no government can, by providing the ground for military operations against its neighbor, assume that the consequences of the crisis will be directed solely at the target side.
This reality is especially important regarding countries that host American military bases. Hosting foreign forces does not in itself mean participation in any military operation, but if a country’s soil, airspace, or infrastructure is used to attack Iran, that country must also accept the political and security responsibility of its decision. Regional governments must distinguish between conventional defense cooperation and participation in actions that can ignite the fire of a widespread conflict. Source: MNA.
