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Taliban regime may collapse by 2027, says expert

SB Desk
17 August 2026 12:35 Updated: 17 August 2026 12:35

A fresh debate has emerged over the future of the Taliban government in Afghanistan. Afghanistan expert Hasan Khan has expressed concern that the Taliban regime could collapse by 2027.

The Taliban seized power in Afghanistan in 2021 and have since consolidated their control over the country. However, questions have long remained over the sustainability of their rule amid the economic crisis, international isolation, human rights concerns and internal divisions.

Analysts say growing policy and power struggles within the Taliban leadership could pose a major challenge to the regime if the differences deepen. At the same time, tensions with Pakistan, the issue of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), and the broader regional security situation are adding pressure to the Taliban government.

However, there is currently no independently verified forecast that the Taliban government will collapse by 2027. In a 2024 analysis, the Brookings Institution said the Taliban remained firmly in power and was not facing an imminent risk of economic collapse despite the country’s economic difficulties. The analysis also noted that the Taliban had been expanding its diplomatic engagement with countries in the region.

Therefore, the prediction of a collapse by 2027 should be viewed as an expert assessment or opinion rather than a certain forecast. The future of the Taliban government will largely depend on its internal unity, economic conditions, the strength of opposition forces and its relations with neighboring countries. Source WE News.

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